Model Documentation -- Statistical Models
1. Overview
The system implements two main statistical models: a Prophet-based time series forecasting model and a campaign performance analysis model. These models are designed to provide accurate predictions and insights for marketing campaign performance.
2. Prophet Time Series Model
2.1 Model Architecture
2.2 Implementation Details
- Model Class:
ProphetPredictionModel
- Database Integration: MongoDB
- Key Methods:
get_by_id
: Retrieve prediction by IDget_by_campaign_id
: Get predictions for specific campaigncreate
: Store new predictionupdate
: Update existing predictiondelete
: Remove prediction
2.3 Model Parameters
- Growth: Linear
- Seasonality:
- Daily
- Weekly
- Yearly
- Holidays: Custom holiday effects
- Changepoint Prior: 0.05
- Seasonality Prior: 10.0
3. Campaign Performance Model
3.1 Model Architecture
3.2 Implementation Details
- Model Class:
CampaignModel
- Database Integration: MongoDB
- Key Methods:
get_by_id
: Retrieve campaign by IDget_by_company_id
: Get campaigns for companyget_by_company_id_and_status
: Filter campaigns by statuscount_by_company_id
: Count company campaignsget_paginated
: Paginated campaign retrievalget_aggregated
: Aggregated campaign datacreate
: Create new campaignupdate
: Update existing campaigndelete
: Remove campaign
3.3 Performance Metrics
- Key Metrics:
- Click-through Rate (CTR)
- Conversion Rate
- Cost per Acquisition (CPA)
- Return on Ad Spend (ROAS)
- Trend Analysis:
- Daily trends
- Weekly patterns
- Monthly comparisons
4. Data Processing Pipeline
4.1 Data Collection
- Real-time data ingestion
- Historical data integration
- Data validation
4.2 Data Preprocessing
- Missing value handling
- Outlier detection
- Feature engineering
4.3 Data Storage
- MongoDB collections
- Indexed queries
- Data partitioning
5. Model Updates and Maintenance
5.1 Retraining Schedule
- Prophet Model: Weekly
- Campaign Model: Daily
5.2 Performance Monitoring
- Real-time metrics tracking
- Alert system for anomalies
- Automated retraining triggers
6. Integration with Frontend
6.1 API Endpoints
- Prediction retrieval
- Campaign data access
- Performance metrics
6.2 Data Visualization
- Time series plots
- Performance dashboards
- Trend analysis charts
7. Security and Privacy
7.1 Data Protection
- Encryption at rest
- Secure data transfer
- Access control
7.2 Compliance
- GDPR compliance
- Data retention policies
- Audit logging